Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 3, 2016

Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. illities are a waste.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Engineering Engineering Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? 10 Deadly Sins of Software Estimation , Steve McConnell , Construx, 2002. Steve McConnell.

2012 48

2012 2007 2011 2010 48

Planio

JUNE 8, 2022

They’re often expected to help establish software engineering tools, standards, and processes like code reviews and testing strategies. They’re comfortable making data-driven decisions. Doing program reports can often mean going into complex data warehouses to run lengthy SQL queries. How software systems are architected.

Technical Review 78

Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review Underperforming Technical Team 78

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Our perception of this world - the data and information we receive about these behaviors. This assumption can be from the lack of data - an ontological uncertainty.

2003 46

2003 2014 2015 2011 46

PM Basics

FEBRUARY 19, 2020

I need accurate estimates. You can guess and make the high-level estimation that has a bullet-proof buffer. But here’s the truth: If you want accurate numbers, you need to do the bottom-up estimate. You estimate activities and tasks. Do you need a senior Android software engineer? Click To Tweet.

Budget 82

Budget Software Review Estimate Risk Management 82

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

The #NoEstimates Manifesto - Actually restates Best Practice for estimating and making decisions with those estimates. . Deterministic estimates are point estimates and Point estimates without a Variance are of little value in the presence of uncertainty. Data over Intuition. All project work is uncertain.

Estimate 50

Estimate 2017 Government Governance 50

MPUG

FEBRUARY 19, 2024

Unlocking the knowledge hidden in an organization’s unstructured data 2. Empowering unprecedented automation Unlocking the Knowledge in the World’s Unstructured Data According to Gartner , 80–90% of all new enterprise data is unstructured, and it is growing 3X faster than structured data.

Generative AI 52

Generative AI 2024 Artificial Inteligence Software Review 52

Herding Cats

MAY 8, 2016

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . Start here.

Estimate 28

Estimate Underperforming Technical Team Software Government 28

Productivity Land

NOVEMBER 15, 2023

According to some reports, an estimated 32.6 Those from other fields—from HR and software engineering to accounting and legal services—are also finding opportunities to build thriving careers from home. Never share personal or identifiable data with anyone offering work. You are looking in the wrong place.

2025 82

2025 Technical Review Web Development Software Review 82

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. Then conjecturing (here) that Not Estimating will somehow fix the problem of when you are DSTOP. The supposed evidence in the presentation, that estimating "does not work" starts with the Chaos Report. The author then claims he has more data coming.

Underperforming Technical Team 40

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Software Developers 40

Herding Cats

MAY 19, 2017

It is popular to claim we've never done this before, so how can we possibly estimate the cost and schedule. If it truly hasn't been done before, then the software project is likely to be an inventing new physics project. In that world, we still made estimates of the cost to design, build, and operate the experiment.

Estimate 36

Estimate Government Governance Software Engineering 36

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

Drawing Unsupported Conclusions from Incomplete and Inconclusive Data, it is not only natural but also laudable, to seek evidence that confirms something that we hold to be true. I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." Let's look at what an estimate is.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Herding Cats

JULY 28, 2017

A Story About Data, Models of Data, and Decision Making. In this course, we learned about statistics beyond the physics and engineering (systems engineering) needs and how to sort out bad data from good data. This was my starting point for becoming a software engineer rather than a physicist, by the way. .

Estimate 37

Estimate Engineering Software Engineering Manufacturing 37

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2017

I started my career as a Software Engineer , writing Fortran 77 signal processing algorithms to find and track missile launchers in the middle eastern desert. This skill was an extension of the signal processing work I did as a grad student looking for information in the data stream of a particle accelerator. Related articles.

Software Developers 39

Software Developers Software Development Engineering Software 39

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. First, the Cone of Uncertainty is a Principle used to define the needed reduction in the variances of estimates on Programs. That is an Immutable Principle of good project management.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

APRIL 14, 2018

For software development, those scarce resources are people, time, and money. Software engineering economics is a topic that addresses the elements of software project costs estimation and analysis and project benefit-cost ratio analysis. This is the foundation for estimates. IT Risk Management.

Process 45

Process Estimate Software Development Software Developers 45

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. System One is an unconscious system that is automatic, fast, efficient at using the data or experience it already knows. In Kahnemann's Thinking Fast and Slow there are three biases. †.

Transportation 39

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 39

Epicflow Blog

MAY 14, 2019

Actually caring about the needs of your sponsor,” says Alberto Pérez Veiga , an IT Engineer at NATO Communications and Information Agency. Learning from historical data is a good way to improve performance. Facts and Fallacies of Software Engineering by Robert L. Learn Your Lessons.

Underperforming Technical Team 62

Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 2002 Software Review 62

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 8, 2017

This can be the confidence in the estimate for any variable. There is NO data needed to use the CoU. But is can be ANY variance for the program, including confidence in the estimates of future performance - cost, schedule, or technical performance. "The IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management , 57 (4), pp.

Performance Measurement 35

Performance Measurement 2017 Technical Review 2008 35

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 23, 2016

The conjecture that we can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the impacts of those decisions is without any principles that can be tested beyond personal anecdotes of I know people who spend other peoples money without providing estimates. We need to learn how to predict with credible methods.

Estimate 39

Estimate Risk Management Finance Software Developers 39

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2018

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." IEEE Transactions of Software Engineering, 1 (1984): 4-21.

Software Developers 34

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk 34

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2019

The infrastructure removal program meant installing a complete wireless umbrella across several 100 square miles of property with full encrypted security while maintaining voice, data, first responder, physical, and cyber control. This also meant developing software systems to support this effort. Is this normal?

Estimate 42

Estimate Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 42

Herding Cats

APRIL 13, 2018

Estimation locks down choices early through upfront t decision making, #NoEstimates preserves options. This is the same paradigm of Agile software development where responding to change over following the plan is part of the original manifesto. Aligning Software Investment Decisions with the Markets ," Hakan Erdogmus. "

2008 32

2008 2002 Estimate Software Engineering 32

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

Since there has been some confusion around the CoU in the past, about whether it can be reduced, whether there is credible data showing it is valid or not, whether those claiming it can't be reduced have any Root Cause Analysis as to why it wasn;t reduced, I thought I'd included the references we're using. 37–48, 2007. So here's the outcome.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 11, 2017

Conventional approaches to forecasting with empirical data - the supposed No Estimated approach to estimating, hides this fact. Because in forecasting there is no place for uncertainty, which is why No Estimates advocates assert Forecasting is not estimating. This approach mandates estimating all our work.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Engineering Risk Management Risk 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 23, 2019

The infrastructure removal program meant installing a complete wireless umbrella across several 100 square miles of property with full encrypted security while maintaining voice, data, first responder, physical, and cyber control. This also meant developing software systems to support this effort. Almost impossible?

Estimate 37

Estimate Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 37

Herding Cats

JANUARY 13, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute. Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Estimate Software Review Software Engineering 28

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. Then conjecturing (here) that Not Estimating will somehow, through some unstated process of correction or prevention, fix the problem of when you are DSTOP. TO DO in Rally, Remaining Estimate in Jira, and other fields in Team Foundation Server and VersionOne. Not likely.

Underperforming Technical Team 28

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Development Team Review 28

Paymo App

JULY 16, 2018

This way you reduce costs and make sure that all data is unified across all departments, leaving no room for misinterpretations. For some inspiration, take a look at the list of project planning software we recommend below or check out these project management tools. Estimate costs. Project details in Paymo.

Software Review 52

Software Review Planning Software Technical Review 52

Wrike

APRIL 5, 2021

Software development has changed radically in recent years, so why are our processes still the same? Release management is a modern solution to the unique challenges software engineers and project managers face today. This software project management method covers everything from ideation to release. Rely on data.

Software Review 41

Software Review Engineering Software Developers Software Development 41

Herding Cats

JUNE 7, 2018

That would mine all the User Stories are standalone pieces of software. That means the system architecture, the process flow, the data flow architecture components all how NO dependencies on other. Actual software process flows contain loops. Enterprise Software process and data flows always contain loops.

Underperforming Technical Team 32

Underperforming Technical Team SCRUM Software Engineering Risk Management 32

MPUG

MAY 14, 2021

I got junior software engineers, software engineers, senior software engineers. I know I’m going to have a senior software engineer and I want him working on these tasks [inaudible 00:12:15] who that is. ” So, in this case, I see the junior software engineer is costing me $1.50

Performance Measurement 59

Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Engineering 59

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

Let's start with a clear and concise description of the problem of successfully managing projects in the presence of uncertainty: Accurate software cost and schedule estimations are essential for non-trivial software projects. As a software project progresses, more information about the project is known.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use. This fallacy comes from a collection of data that did not follow the needed and planned reduction of uncertainty for the cost estimates of a set of software development projects. .

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. System One is an unconscious system that is automatic, fast, efficient at using the data or experience it already knows. In Kahnemann's Thinking Fast and Slow there are three biases. †.

Transportation 28

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28