Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46

2003 2014 2015 2011 46

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. This letter states.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

Reducing Estimation Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment: Tracking the 'Cone of Uncertainty’” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, Chatchai Sinthop and Barry Boehm, Center for Systems and Software Engineering University of Southern California , Los Angeles, CA 90089, ASE’10 , September 20–24, 2010, Antwerp, Belgium, 2010. 37–48, 2007.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

The IIL Blog

APRIL 27, 2018

First let’s keep the concept of ROI basic, which is in this context: Applying this equation to a real-life example, if the cost for rolling out a SMILE activity = $10,000 and the estimated value of the program is $100,000 (considering quantitative and/or qualitative factors such as listed above): This number is not exaggerated.

2004 121

2004 Software Review 2012 PMI 121

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Agile Software Development (#ASD). But each method needs to be based on 5 Immutable principles to be successful, no matter the domain or context, PMI Spring Seminar , 2012, Austin TX. Those lessons are directly transferable to the management of software development teams. Enterprise IT and Embedded Systems (#EIT).

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement 2003 Governance 42

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. Then conjecturing (here) that Not Estimating will somehow fix the problem of when you are DSTOP. The supposed evidence in the presentation, that estimating "does not work" starts with the Chaos Report. Principle #2 - Shorten the Feedback Cycle .

Underperforming Technical Team 40

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Software Developers 40

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. The notion of waterfall development on slide 9 as actually prohibited in our domain. The notion of waterfall development on slide 9 as actually prohibited in our domain. This is called Doing Stupid Things on Purpose (DSTOP). Not likely.

Underperforming Technical Team 28

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Development Team Review 28

Herding Cats

AUGUST 25, 2017

Can All This Formality Have Any Use in Modern Software Development? The notion that agile development is a free-for-all development of what ever the customer wants to produce next, with the customer identifying the next important thing to develop works just fine for de minimus projects. McComb, Deanna M.

2014 38

2014 2013 2012 Engineering 38

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

Let's start with a clear and concise description of the problem of successfully managing projects in the presence of uncertainty: Accurate software cost and schedule estimations are essential for non-trivial software projects. As a software project progresses, more information about the project is known.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Workzone

AUGUST 4, 2021

Trello is a weak option for project managers concerned with estimates, budgets, and dependencies. Jira is the flagship product of Australian software developer Atlassian’s. ProjectManager.com is a robust project planning software developed by ProjectManager.com, Inc. Pricing: Free – $20.83/user/month. user/month.

2021 26

2021 Software Review Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team 26

BeeWits

JULY 3, 2018

In 2012, a freemium version of the product was launched which allowed project teams of up to 5 users to use the solution for free. Gantt Chart – again, a view for project managers which allows the responsible persons for this project to estimate the start and end, the full timeline of the project. Workload management.

Software Review 29

Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Budget Defining 29

Herding Cats

MAY 7, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp.

Estimate 40

Estimate Software Review Software 2012 40

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

So here are some books, handbooks, and guides that sit on my shelf that are used pretty much all the time on the Software Intensive System of Systems we work on. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. I'm not expecting anyone to read all these books.

Risk Management 43

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011 43

Wrike

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

Estimated Project-Oriented Job Openings 2010-2020: . Number of companies with a PMO has grown from 47% to 80% from 2000-2012. Inadequate cost estimates – 29%. Inaccurate task time estimate – 27%. Why a Majority of Business and IT Teams Anticipate Their Software Development Projects Will Fail. 8,153,340. .

2015 60

2015 Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 60

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 7, 2016

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. So when you hear we can't estimate you'll know better.

Estimate 64

Estimate 2005 2006 2012 64

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 16, 2018

The previous approaches to project performance management and production of the Estimate to Complete and Estimate at Completion make use of past performance. Estimating Models for Program Management," Norman Womer and Jeff Cman, Final Technical Reports, N00014-00-1-0280, Unversity of Mississippi, 2003. Data Mining | DMIN'17.

Aerospace 41

Aerospace Engineering 2012 2014 41

Herding Cats

MAY 10, 2019

requires making estimates) ? This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to assess risks, their impacts, and handling strategies for software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Estimation of Long?Term Claude Bocquet, Reliability Engineering and System Safety , 2012. Kwak and J.

Risk Management 38

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 38

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. requires making estimates) ? Estimation of Long?Term

Risk Management 35

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 35

Project Pulse Journal

APRIL 16, 2024

By: Hajime Estanislao, PMP, CSM Embarking on project estimations can often feel complex - where the path forward is unclear, and the potential for missteps is high. This is where the concept of T-shirt sizing shines as a simple estimation technique. What is T-shirt Sizing?

Agile 52

Agile Technical Review Software Review Estimate 52