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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

If your uncertainty is not reducing at some planned rate, you're not managing the project for success and you're going to be late, over budget and the products not likley to work or some combination of those. If the product with the needed Features shows up late and over budget, is that good business management? 37-48, 2007.

2007 34
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Deconstruction the #NoEstimates Conjecture

Herding Cats

Let me point out an obvious problem - software projects go over budget and are late. This McKinsey project is ongoing, with 5,400 IT projects in the database as of 2012. The link to the quote in the original book can be found here, Software Engineering and Metrics. Software engineering economics."

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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. Bauman, Industrial & Engineering Chemistry , April 1958.

2010 28
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Deconstruction the #NoEstimates Conjecture

Herding Cats

Let me point out an obvious problem - software projects go over budget and are late. This McKinsey project is ongoing, with 5,400 IT projects in the database as of 2012. The link to the quote in the original book can be found here, Software Engineering and Metrics. Software engineering economics."

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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

If the parameter of interest is not being reduced as needed, go find out why and fix it, or you'll be late, over budget, and the technical outcome unacceptable. Shrinking The Cone Of Uncertainty With Continuous Assessment For Software Team Dynamics In Design And Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,” Ph.D. Prentice-Hall, 1981. .

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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. Software Engineering Institute, January 1996. De Meyer, C. Loch, and M.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

“Effort Estimation of Use Cases for Incremental Large-Scale Software Development,” Pareastoo Mohagheghi, Bente Anda, and Reidat Conradi, Proceedings of the 27th international conference on Software engineering. Software Development Effort Estimation using Fuzzy Bayesian Belief Network with COCOMO II,” B. 1, May 2012.