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Why our brain is not built for softwareengineering. Although our brain is a marvel of evolution, it has not evolved to excel at the kind of knowledge work (Davenport, 2005) that we actually do most of the time. This will affect all estimates and predictions. This will affect all estimates and predictions.
The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991. Don't hear one?
Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. First, the Cone of Uncertainty is a Principle used to define the needed reduction in the variances of estimates on Programs. Remember Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister.
Barry Boehm's work in “SoftwareEngineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.
Barry Boehm's work in “SoftwareEngineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.
Barry Boehm's work in “SoftwareEngineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates are needed but are subject to large level of uncertainty.
40 - Estimation is a Problematic Practice of Companies Doing Dangerous Things. A #Noestimates advocate makes the claim that having a ±10% accuracy for estimates of cost and duration is a dangerous thing. Define the probabilistic ranges of the work in a single point estimate manner. There are databases for Function Points .
Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. So when you hear we can't estimate you'll know better.
This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimatesoftware-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. Performance Evaluation of non?Markovian
requires making estimates) ? This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to assess risks, their impacts, and handling strategies for software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. IEEE Transactions on SoftwareEngineering , Vol. SoftwareEngineering Institute, January 1996.
requires making estimates) ? Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, SoftwareEngineering Institute, June 1993. IEEE Transactions on SoftwareEngineering , Vol. SoftwareEngineering Institute, January 1996.
So here are some books, handbooks, and guides that sit on my shelf that are used pretty much all the time on the Software Intensive System of Systems we work on. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. I'm not expecting anyone to read all these books.
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